Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.041524 0.047172 0.053459 0.061004 0.069848 0.079930 0.092354
2024-10-06 0.034388 0.042294 0.051973 0.064824 0.081632 0.103136 0.133165
2024-10-13 0.027715 0.035849 0.046437 0.061467 0.082642 0.112011 0.156914
2024-10-20 0.023857 0.032107 0.043383 0.060279 0.085593 0.123183 0.185359
2024-10-27 0.020845 0.028972 0.040533 0.058655 0.087255 0.132301 0.212166
2024-11-03 0.019280 0.027625 0.039954 0.060136 0.093652 0.149626 0.256126
2024-11-10 0.018001 0.026506 0.039507 0.061653 0.100205 0.168249 0.306830
2024-11-17 0.016585 0.024993 0.038230 0.061563 0.103901 0.182397 0.352460
2024-11-24 0.015201 0.023374 0.036574 0.060560 0.105722 0.193269 0.394074
2024-12-01 0.014264 0.022378 0.035821 0.061004 0.110238 0.210171 0.453528
2024-12-08 0.013378 0.021374 0.034933 0.061059 0.113961 0.226102 0.515366
2024-12-15 0.012660 0.020584 0.034328 0.061546 0.118597 0.244883 0.590229
2024-12-22 0.011609 0.019186 0.032610 0.059894 0.119000 0.255433 0.650617
2024-12-29 0.011335 0.019154 0.033412 0.063446 0.131571 0.298412 0.823531
2025-01-05 0.010249 0.017543 0.031068 0.060161 0.127976 0.300073 0.870036
2025-01-12 0.009528 0.016545 0.029802 0.059003 0.129207 0.314806 0.967198
2025-01-19 0.008837 0.015543 0.028427 0.057419 0.129115 0.325937 1.057482
2025-01-26 0.008523 0.015234 0.028407 0.058863 0.136968 0.362168 1.263615
2025-02-02 0.008234 0.014949 0.028402 0.060342 0.145225 0.402258 1.511988
2025-02-09 0.007828 0.014395 0.027776 0.060254 0.149201 0.430020 1.725000
2025-02-16 0.007381 0.013722 0.026836 0.059277 0.150484 0.449259 1.911220
2025-02-23 0.007084 0.013335 0.026477 0.059709 0.156008 0.485324 2.214425
2025-03-02 0.006780 0.012909 0.025995 0.059763 0.160424 0.518982 2.534509